Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.020203 0.021845 0.023555 0.025473 0.027564 0.029776 0.032294
2025-09-14 0.017375 0.019730 0.022318 0.025380 0.028910 0.032860 0.037627
2025-09-21 0.015392 0.018118 0.021235 0.025073 0.029688 0.035078 0.041875
2025-09-28 0.014135 0.017131 0.020668 0.025169 0.030773 0.037552 0.046425
2025-10-05 0.013050 0.016212 0.020047 0.025069 0.031509 0.039541 0.050399
2025-10-12 0.012243 0.015547 0.019653 0.025166 0.032428 0.041740 0.054702
2025-10-19 0.011550 0.014961 0.019293 0.025244 0.033276 0.043840 0.058948
2025-10-26 0.010881 0.014349 0.018843 0.025148 0.033850 0.045564 0.062742
2025-11-02 0.010329 0.013851 0.018501 0.025152 0.034528 0.047431 0.066805
2025-11-09 0.009701 0.013209 0.017918 0.024776 0.034632 0.048472 0.069712
2025-11-16 0.009103 0.012571 0.017300 0.024303 0.034550 0.049216 0.072193
2025-11-23 0.008653 0.012114 0.016905 0.024116 0.034855 0.050512 0.075544
2025-11-30 0.008214 0.011665 0.016518 0.023948 0.035219 0.051979 0.079353
2025-12-07 0.007819 0.011260 0.016175 0.023827 0.035650 0.053573 0.083482
2025-12-14 0.007409 0.010809 0.015739 0.023536 0.035791 0.054717 0.086946
2025-12-21 0.007134 0.010545 0.015563 0.023625 0.036519 0.056803 0.092061
2025-12-28 0.006833 0.010225 0.015283 0.023531 0.036940 0.058409 0.096462
2026-01-04 0.006600 0.009996 0.015129 0.023622 0.037656 0.060521 0.101844
2026-01-11 0.006379 0.009773 0.014971 0.023694 0.038336 0.062599 0.107290
2026-01-18 0.006135 0.009503 0.014724 0.023604 0.038734 0.064213 0.112001
2026-01-25 0.005928 0.009280 0.014541 0.023608 0.039284 0.066108 0.117330
2026-02-01 0.005659 0.008946 0.014161 0.023258 0.039199 0.066878 0.120619
2026-02-08 0.005388 0.008596 0.013740 0.022816 0.038926 0.067294 0.123253